Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between David Eichenseher and Grigory Shebekin in the ITF Men Hurghada, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 5:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Eichenseher' if David Eichenseher advances against Grigory Shebekin. This market will resolve to 'Grigory Shebekin' if Grigory Shebekin advances against David Eichenseher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Hurghada: David Eichenseher vs Grigory Shebekin | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
David Eichenseher faces Grigory Shebekin in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 13 May 2026 in Hurghada, Egypt. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Eichenseher's advancement, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in his victory or minimal trading activity establishing a genuine price discovery. This extreme probability warrants scrutiny given the settlement window extends to 20 May, allowing seven days for match completion before the 50-50 tie-resolution clause activates.
ITF Futures tournaments at this tier typically feature significant volatility in player availability and match outcomes. Lower-ranked professionals competing in satellite events frequently withdraw due to injury, travel complications, or scheduling conflicts—factors that would trigger the tie resolution rather than a decisive result. Historical patterns from comparable ITF Hurghada events show that matches involving players outside the top 500 ATP rankings experience cancellation rates between 8-15%, particularly when scheduled in May during the European clay season when players prioritise higher-ranking events.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' entry lists closer to the tournament date and any injury announcements from either competitor. The Egypt-based venue introduces logistical dependencies around travel and visa clearance. Traders should monitor ITF official draw releases and player social media for withdrawal signals. The extreme current probability likely reflects minimal liquidity rather than substantive information advantage, creating potential value opportunities if either player's participation becomes uncertain in the fortnight preceding the match.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Hurghada: David Eichenseher vs Grigory Shebekin" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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