Sports

Trade: Haiti vs. Peru - Exact Score

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Haiti and Peru, scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Haiti vs. Peru match originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$76
Total Volume
—
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
—
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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-0 49% YES51% NO
Exact Score: 0-1 49% YES51% NO
Exact Score: 1-0 49% YES51% NO
Exact Score: 0-2 49% YES51% NO
Exact Score: 1-1 49% YES51% NO
Exact Score: 2-0 49% YES51% NO
Exact Score: 0-3 49% YES51% NO
Exact Score: 1-2 49% YES51% NO

Market context

Haiti and Peru will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 5 June 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched outcome settling as "Any Other Score." The 49% implied probability for a specific scoreline reflects the current order book on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood of one of the explicitly listed outcomes occurring versus the catch-all category.

Friendlies between nations of disparate competitive levels typically produce wider score distributions than competitive fixtures. Haiti, ranked outside the top 100 by FIFA, faces Peru, a Copa América participant with considerably stronger recent form. Historical precedent suggests matches between teams of this calibre gap frequently end in decisive margins—3–1, 2–0, or 4–1 results are common—rather than narrow scorelines. The 49% probability indicates traders view the listed specific outcomes as moderately likely, suggesting confidence that the match will produce one of the pre-defined scores rather than an outlier result.

Key variables for traders include squad availability, with both nations potentially managing player rotation in a non-competitive fixture, and venue conditions. Peru's recent performances in 2025 Copa América qualification will signal their competitive state. Any late team news regarding injuries to key players could shift expectations around scoring volume. The settlement window closes immediately after the match concludes, leaving no window for delayed reporting.

Wikipedia Context

  • Foreign relations of Uruguay
    Foreign relations of Uruguay

    This article deals with the diplomatic affairs, foreign policy and international relations of Uruguay. At the political level, these matters are officially handled by the Ministry of Foreign Relations, also known as Cancillería, which answers to the President.

  • Haiti Partnership
    Haiti Partnership

    The Haiti Partnership is a group of Methodist volunteer missionaries from the New York and Pennsylvania region. Founded in 1995, the partnership has conducted numerous missions in remote Haitian villages and towns, including: Bainet, Hermitage, Bois Neuf Malor, Jeremie, Golbotine, and others. A mission consists of up to fourteen volunteers traveling by plane

  • Germany–Haiti relations
    Germany–Haiti relations

    German–Haitian relations date back to the time before the country's independence. They were characterized by trade in the 19th century. In the 20th century, they lost importance due to political developments in both Germany and Haiti.

  • Haitian National Truth and Justice Commission
    Haitian National Truth and Justice Commission

    Haiti's National Truth and Justice Commission began its operations in April 1995 and ended in February 1996. The country's once diverse and lively civil society had been tarnished greatly as a result of the ousting of its first democratically elected president, Jean-Bertrand Aristide, by its military forces. This deposing of President Aristide is widely know

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Haiti vs. Peru - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$0 in lifetime turnover and $76 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Haiti vs. Peru - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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