Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Czechia and Kosovo, scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Czechia | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Kosovo | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Czechia will host Kosovo in a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for a Czechia halftime victory, suggesting even odds between a home win and either a draw or Kosovo away result combined at that juncture.
Halftime markets in international friendlies typically show compressed volatility compared to full-match outcomes, as the sample size of first-half goals remains smaller and more variable. Czechia has historically dominated Kosovo in competitive fixtures, though friendly matches often feature rotated squads and reduced intensity. The 50% split on Polymarket indicates traders are pricing in meaningful uncertainty about early dominance, possibly reflecting Kosovo's recent competitive improvements and the unpredictability of team selection in non-competitive matches.
Key variables for traders include squad announcements closer to the fixture date, which will clarify whether either side fields experimental lineups or prioritises attacking play early. Injury updates and recent form in domestic leagues will influence early-game tempo. The timing at 10:00 AM ET (14:00 UTC) places the match in a standard European afternoon slot, reducing jet-lag factors. Settlement closes at 14:00 UTC on 31 May, providing a tight window between final whistle and market closure. Monitor official team news from the Czech Football Association and Kosovo Football Federation in the weeks preceding the match, as friendly fixtures sometimes see late tactical adjustments that affect first-half dynamics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Czechia vs. Kosovo - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $128 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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