Trade: Granada CF vs. Burgos CF - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between Granada CF and Burgos CF, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Granada CF vs. Burgos CF match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $4K
- Total Volume
- —
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- —
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
Market context
Granada CF face Burgos CF in a La Liga 2 fixture on 16 May 2026, with settlement at 16:30 UTC. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 12% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting the combined likelihood of all explicitly listed final scores versus the catch-all "Any Other Score" category. Exact-score markets typically concentrate probability mass across a narrow range of outcomes, with the most common results—1–0, 1–1, 2–1, 2–0—accounting for the majority of historical La Liga 2 matches.
Granada finished the 2024–25 season in mid-table, averaging 1.4 goals for and 1.2 against per match, whilst Burgos operated with tighter margins in both attack and defence. Historical data from comparable La Liga 2 encounters suggests that scorelines outside the 0–0 to 2–1 range occur in roughly 35–40% of fixtures, which partially explains why any single exact score trades at modest probability. The current 12% pricing reflects the order book's assessment that the listed outcomes carry sufficient combined weight to justify that threshold.
Traders should monitor team news through mid-May, particularly injury status for key attacking and defensive personnel. Fixture congestion late in the season may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions on match day and any late tactical adjustments from either manager could shift expected goal distributions. Settlement occurs immediately after the final whistle at 16:30 UTC, with no provision for postponement resolution beyond keeping the market open until the match concludes.
Wikipedia Context
-
Granada CFGranada Club de Fútbol, known simply as Granada or "Graná", is a professional Spanish football club based in the city of Granada, in the autonomous community of Andalusia, that currently plays in Segunda División. Its main shareholder is the Chinese company Desport, and its president Jiang Lizhang. The club was founded in 1931 with the name of Club Recreativ
-
Granada CF (women)
Granada Club de Fútbol Femenino is a Spanish women's football club from Granada founded in 2003. It is the women's section of Granada CF.
-
Recreativo GranadaClub Recreativo Granada is a Spanish football team based in Granada, in the autonomous community of Andalusia. Founded in 1947, it is the reserve team of Granada CF and currently plays in Tercera Federación – Group 9, holding home games at Estadio Miguel Prieto, with a capacity for 2,500 spectators.
-
List of Granada CF seasons
From 1931 Granada CF has played in the following levels of Spanish football:27 seasons in La Liga 35 seasons in Segunda División 22 seasons in Segunda División B 5 seasons in Tercera División 2 seasons in Regional
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Granada CF vs. Burgos CF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Granada CF vs. Burgos CF - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: