Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between Córdoba CF and Granada CF.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Córdoba CF | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Córdoba CF vs. Granada CF) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Granada CF | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Córdoba CF and Granada CF are scheduled to meet in La Liga 2 on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating traders are pricing this fixture as a certainty to occur. This extreme probability typically emerges when settlement conditions are straightforward and no material obstacles to fixture completion have surfaced in the days preceding the match.
La Liga 2 fixtures have historically shown high completion rates, with postponements or cancellations remaining rare absent severe weather or administrative intervention. Granada CF, as a club with recent top-flight experience, and Córdoba CF, a traditional Segunda División side, both maintain sufficient operational capacity that fixture abandonment is an outlier scenario. The 100% reading on Polymarket's order book reflects this baseline reliability rather than any extraordinary confidence in either team's participation.
Traders monitoring this market should track official La Liga 2 communications for any fixture rescheduling announcements, which typically occur 48–72 hours before scheduled kickoff. Weather forecasts for Córdoba on 10 May warrant attention, though May fixtures in Andalusia rarely encounter conditions severe enough to trigger postponement. Injury or disciplinary suspensions affecting key personnel would not alter settlement conditions. The settlement window closes at 16:30 UTC on match day, allowing confirmation once the fixture concludes or is formally abandoned by league authorities.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Córdoba CF vs. Granada CF" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$104K in lifetime turnover and $284K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $104K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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