Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between CD Castellón and Córdoba CF.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Castellón | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Córdoba CF | 100% YES | 0% NO |
CD Castellón will face Córdoba CF in a La Liga 2 fixture on Saturday, 2 May 2026. The match represents a standard league encounter in Spain's second tier, with settlement contingent on the final result at the conclusion of regular play. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating that traders are pricing this event with minimal conviction toward one particular resolution at present.
La Liga 2 matches between mid-table and lower-ranked sides typically exhibit volatile pricing in the weeks preceding kickoff, particularly when both clubs carry inconsistent form or face injury concerns. Historical comparable fixtures from the 2024–25 season show that markets for Spanish second-division games often shift materially once team news emerges—squad availability, managerial changes, or relegation/promotion implications can move prices 15–25 percentage points in the final fortnight. The 0% reading here suggests either extreme confidence in a particular outcome or insufficient trading activity to establish consensus pricing.
Traders should monitor official La Liga announcements regarding fixture confirmation, any mid-season managerial changes at either club, and injury bulletins released in the week before 2 May. Córdoba's recent league position and Castellón's current standing will influence tactical approaches. Weather conditions at the venue and any fixture congestion affecting either side's preparation schedule may also warrant attention as settlement approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Castellón vs. Córdoba CF" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$35K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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