Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Eredivisie game, scheduled for May 10 at 10:45 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Fortuna Sittard (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fortuna Sittard (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| PEC Zwolle (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| PEC Zwolle (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Fortuna Sittard will host PEC Zwolle on 10 May 2026 in an Eredivisie fixture scheduled for 10:45 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, indicating either minimal liquidity at present or that traders have priced this contract as effectively worthless relative to the settlement criteria. With the settlement window closing at 14:45 UTC on match day, any position entered now carries execution risk tied to order-book depth and late-market volatility.
Historical precedent suggests that niche Eredivisie side markets—particularly those with vague settlement language—often trade at extreme probabilities due to thin participation. When additional markets fragment trading interest across multiple contracts for the same fixture, individual pools can become illiquid, pushing prices toward zero or one hundred percent regardless of underlying event probability. The 0% reading here likely reflects either genuine market consensus that the condition will not occur, or simply an absence of active bids.
Traders should monitor official Eredivisie fixture confirmations and any team news affecting squad availability in the week preceding 10 May. Fortuna Sittard and PEC Zwolle's league positions and recent form will influence broader market activity on related contracts. Late-week injury announcements or fixture postponements—rare but material—would alter the settlement landscape. The tight settlement window (match conclusion to 14:45 UTC) means any ambiguity in outcome definition will be resolved quickly, leaving little time for dispute resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Fortuna Sittard vs. PEC Zwolle - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$31K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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