Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, May 17, 2026 between Wolverhampton Wanderers FC and Fulham FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Draw (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC) | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Fulham FC | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Wolverhampton Wanderers will host Fulham at Molineux Stadium on Sunday, 17 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Wolves victory at 27 per cent implied probability, reflecting the market's assessment that Fulham enters as favourites or the match is expected to be closely contested. Settlement occurs at 14:00 UTC on the fixture date, with outcomes determined by the final whistle result.
Historically, Wolves' home record against mid-table or upper-mid-table sides has varied considerably depending on squad composition and form trajectory through a season. Fulham's recent trajectory—particularly their consolidation in the Premier League after promotion—suggests they have developed competitive depth. The 27 per cent probability for a Wolves win sits below the baseline for a home team in a typical Premier League matchup, indicating the market currently favours either a Fulham victory or a draw as more likely outcomes. This pricing reflects both teams' relative strength as of early 2026.
Traders should monitor team news in the final weeks before 17 May, including injury updates to key players and any managerial changes. Fixture congestion in late April and early May may affect squad rotation and fatigue levels. League position and remaining fixtures for both clubs in the run-in could also shift motivation and selection priorities. Recent form in the weeks immediately preceding the match—particularly Wolves' performance in their final home games—will provide concrete data for reassessing the current probability before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $1.6M of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $428 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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