Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Denmark Superliga game, scheduled for May 17 at 8:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Randers FC (-1.5) | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| FC København (-2.5) | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Randers FC (-2.5) | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| FC København (-1.5) | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 61% YES | 39% NO |
FC København and Randers FC will meet in the Denmark Superliga on 17 May at 08:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket is pricing the "More Markets" outcome at 22% implied probability, reflecting modest conviction among traders that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. This probability emerges from real-time order flow and liquidity provision across the platform's book, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating the degree of uncertainty around whether supplementary markets materialise.
Historical precedent suggests that major European league fixtures routinely attract expanded market offerings, particularly in the final weeks of a season when trading volume peaks. Superliga matches involving Copenhagen—Denmark's most prominent club—have typically seen secondary markets created, though smaller clubs like Randers generate less consistent additional coverage. The 22% reading sits below the baseline for comparable top-flight matchups, suggesting either reduced confidence in market expansion for this specific pairing or lower anticipated liquidity relative to other fixtures settling in the same window.
Traders should monitor Polymarket's market creation schedule and any announcements regarding Denmark Superliga coverage depth in the days preceding the match. Fixture postponements, injury disclosures affecting either squad, or shifts in platform strategy around regional football coverage could alter the probability. Settlement hinges on whether new markets—such as player performance props, team statistics, or alternative scorelines—are formally listed before the 12:00 UTC deadline on 17 May.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://superligaen.dk/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC København vs. Randers FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$132 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $15 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://superligaen.dk/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: