Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between K27 and Gentle Mates in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "K27" if K27 win the match against Gentle Mates. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against K27. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
K27 and Gentle Mates will contest a best-of-three Counter-Strike match in Round 2 of the PGL Astana Group Stage on 10 May 2026, scheduled for 01:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices K27 victory at 30%, reflecting modest confidence in the underdog despite their positioning in this fixture. Settlement occurs at 11:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with provisions for 50-50 resolution if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie.
K27 and Gentle Mates operate within the competitive Counter-Strike ecosystem where regional strength and recent LAN performance heavily influence match outcomes. Teams competing in PGL-sanctioned events typically show measurable form through their preceding tournament results and head-to-head records. The 30% probability suggests the market views K27 as a clear underdog, consistent with how Polymarket prices teams with weaker recent records or less established rosters against higher-seeded opponents in group-stage contexts.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any official PGL announcements regarding team participation in the coming weeks. Scheduling changes, player availability issues, or last-minute roster adjustments could alter the match dynamics materially. The early morning ET start time may also influence participation and broadcast coverage, potentially affecting information flow to Western markets. Any official PGL communications regarding the Group Stage draw or team preparation statements should be tracked closely through the competition's official channels and esports news outlets.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/PGL. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$562K in lifetime turnover and $1.6M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $562K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/PGL. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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