Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Bangladesh and Pakistan scheduled for 2026-05-07 in Test Series Bangladesh vs. Pakistan. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bangladesh will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Bangladesh. The outcome corresponding to Pakistan will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Pakistan.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| BGD | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Draw | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| PAK | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Bangladesh and Pakistan will contest a Test match on 7 May 2026, with this market determining which team's batter records the highest individual score across both innings. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability split, suggesting traders view both teams as equally likely to produce the match's leading run-scorer. Settlement hinges on ESPN Cricinfo's official match statistics, with the market closing on 15 May 2026.
Historical Test cricket between these neighbours shows relatively balanced batting strength, though Pakistan has traditionally held a slight edge in individual batting performances at the international level. Bangladesh's recent Test record demonstrates improved consistency, with batters like Mushfiqur Rahim and Liton Das regularly posting substantial innings. Pakistan counters with established performers including Babar Azam and Shan Masood. The 50-50 probability reflects uncertainty around form, pitch conditions, and selection choices closer to the fixture date.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and any injury updates in the weeks preceding the match, as key absences could shift the probability meaningfully. Pitch reports from the venue become material in late April, as Bangladesh pitches typically favour spin bowling, potentially shortening batting innings and reducing the likelihood of large individual scores. Recent form in domestic cricket and any warm-up matches will provide concrete data on current batting fitness and confidence levels for both squads.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Test Series Bangladesh vs. Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $100 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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