Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Rajasthan Royals and Gujarat Titans scheduled for May 9 2026 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Rajasthan Royals will face Gujarat Titans on 9 May 2026 in the Indian Premier League. The match will be played as a standard T20 fixture, with resolution determined by the official result published on ESPNcricinfo. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 55% implied probability for a Royals victory, suggesting the market views this as a competitive encounter with a modest lean towards the home or favoured side.
Historically, head-to-head records between these franchises show relatively balanced competition since Gujarat Titans' entry into the IPL in 2022. Rajasthan Royals have demonstrated strong tournament performance in recent seasons, whilst Gujarat Titans have established themselves as consistent playoff contenders. The 55% probability sits within the typical range for matches between evenly matched mid-table sides, neither reflecting a heavy favourite nor suggesting significant uncertainty. Comparable IPL matchups between franchises of similar recent form typically settle in the 48–58% range for the stronger-fancied team.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates in the weeks preceding the match, particularly regarding key batsmen and bowlers for both sides. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground—pitch reports and historical data from that location—will influence team selection and performance expectations. Weather forecasts closer to 9 May and any late-stage team news released by the franchises will provide material information. The settlement window closes on 16 May, allowing two days for official result confirmation and any potential dispute resolution through ESPNcricinfo's published records.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2.2M in lifetime turnover and $494K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2.1M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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