Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Zhejiang Zhiye FC and Shandong Taishan FC, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Zhejiang Zhiye FC will host Shandong Taishan FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on 20 May 2026, with the halftime result market settling on outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for the home side to be ahead or level at the interval, suggesting near-parity between backing Zhejiang and backing either a Shandong lead or draw at that juncture.
Chinese Super League halftime markets historically show volatility driven by team form trajectories and tactical setup. Shandong Taishan has established itself as a consistent top-tier competitor, whilst Zhejiang's domestic standing fluctuates season to season. Early-season fixtures typically see tighter halftime scorelines than full-match results, as teams often adopt cautious approaches in opening phases. The 49% probability reflects uncertainty about both sides' attacking intent and defensive solidity in the first half, with neither team commanding obvious favouritism at this stage of the season.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and team news through May, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel availability. Recent fixture congestion in the CSL calendar affects fatigue levels heading into matches. Zhejiang's home advantage at their stadium typically provides modest support to halftime outcomes, though this effect remains modest compared to full-match advantage. Weather conditions on match day and any last-minute tactical shifts disclosed in pre-match press conferences could shift the order book materially in the hours before kickoff.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $46 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: