Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Friday, May 15, 2026 between Dalian Yingbo FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Dalian Yingbo FC | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Draw (Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC) | 24% YES | 77% NO |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC | 19% YES | 81% NO |
Dalian Yingbo FC will host Qingdao Xihaian FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on Friday, 15 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a YES outcome at 57%, reflecting moderate confidence in a home victory. This probability has formed through recent trading activity and reflects the collective assessment of the matchup's dynamics at present.
Dalian Yingbo has historically performed reasonably at home in the Super League, though consistency has varied season to season depending on squad composition and managerial tenure. Qingdao Xihaian, as a coastal rival, presents a competitive challenge; the head-to-head record between these clubs shows competitive encounters without overwhelming dominance from either side. The 57% probability sits in a range typical for home-side backing in Chinese Super League matches, where home advantage carries measurable but not decisive weight.
Traders should monitor squad news through late April and early May, particularly injury reports and any managerial changes at either club. League standings as of mid-May will clarify both sides' form and motivation—teams fighting relegation or chasing promotion tend to perform differently than mid-table sides. Weather conditions in Dalian on match day may also influence play style. Official team sheets released 24 hours before kickoff will provide final confirmation of available personnel, potentially shifting the probability if key players are unavailable.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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