Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bundesliga game between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and SV Werder Bremen, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen match originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and SV Werder Bremen will meet in a Bundesliga fixture on 9 May 2026, with settlement determined by the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the market's current assessment that no single scoreline has accumulated sufficient backing to register measurable probability mass. This positioning is typical for exact-score markets where liquidity concentrates on broader outcome categories (win/draw/loss) rather than granular scorelines, leaving individual results thinly traded or unpriced.
Historical Bundesliga data shows that exact-score markets typically see probability distributed across a narrow range of outcomes, with 1–1 draws and single-goal victories (1–0, 2–1) capturing the plurality of matches. Between these sides, recent form and tactical setup will determine which scorelines attract backing. Hoffenheim's attacking profile and Bremen's defensive record should anchor trader expectations around specific result clusters rather than treating all outcomes as equiprobable.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates through early May, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Bundesliga fixture scheduling occasionally shifts; confirmation of the 9:30 AM ET kick-off time closer to the date will be essential. Weather conditions and any late managerial changes could shift the distribution of expected outcomes. Current order-book depth will likely remain sparse until closer to match day, when traders typically increase position sizing across the most probable scorelines.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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