Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Bamin Real Potosí and CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bamin Real Potosí vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo match originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Bamin Real Potosí will face CD San Antonio Bulo Bolo in a Bolivia LFPB fixture on 18 May 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched scoreline resolving to "Any Other Score." The 48% implied probability on the YES side reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood that the match concludes with one of the explicitly listed outcomes rather than an unlisted result.
Exact-score markets in lower-tier South American football typically see 35–55% probability assigned to the combined listed outcomes, depending on league volatility and historical scoring patterns. Bolivia's LFPB has shown moderate goal variance, with most matches settling between 0–3 goals per side. Real Potosí and San Antonio Bulo Bolo's recent form, head-to-head records, and squad depth will determine whether scorelines cluster around common results (1–0, 1–1, 2–1) or scatter across the outcome space. The current 48% reading suggests the market views the listed options as reasonably probable but leaves meaningful room for atypical scores.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports through May, as fixture congestion in the Bolivian calendar can affect squad rotation and fatigue levels. Venue conditions at altitude—Real Potosí plays at 3,640 metres—historically influence goal-scoring patterns. Any late fixture rescheduling or weather warnings would shift probability, as would confirmation of starting lineups closer to kick-off.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bamin Real Potosí vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $442 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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