Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 17, 2026 between FC Schalke 04 and Eintracht Braunschweig.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FC Schalke 04 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Draw (FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig) | 24% YES | 76% NO |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 25% YES | 75% NO |
FC Schalke 04 will face Eintracht Braunschweig in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, 17 May 2026. The match represents a fixture between two clubs with substantial histories in German football, both competing in the second tier. Polymarket's order book is currently pricing the outcome at an even split, with the crowd-implied probability sitting at 50% YES, suggesting genuine uncertainty about the result among active traders.
Schalke and Braunschweig have occupied different trajectories in recent seasons. Schalke, a former Bundesliga mainstay, has spent multiple seasons rebuilding in the second division following financial and sporting difficulties. Braunschweig, similarly, has cycled between tiers but maintains a strong regional support base. Historical head-to-head records between these clubs show competitive fixtures with no dominant pattern, making current form and squad composition the primary drivers of outcome probability rather than structural advantage.
Traders should monitor team news through May, particularly injury updates and any late-season managerial changes that could affect tactical setup. League position standings as of late April will clarify whether either side is chasing promotion or fighting relegation, which materially affects motivation and risk-taking in play. Weather conditions on match day and any fixture congestion from midweek play could also shift the probability, as fatigue management becomes relevant in the final weeks of a season. The settlement window closes immediately after the full-time whistle, leaving no room for post-match developments to influence pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2 in lifetime turnover and $14K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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