Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for April 25 at 12:15PM ET: If the Amici Pallacanestro Udinese win, the market will resolve to "Amici Pallacanestro Udinese". If the Pallacanestro Cantu win, the market will resolve to "Pallacanestro Cantu". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Amici Pallacanestro Udinese vs. Pallacanestro Cantu | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Amici Pallacanestro Udinese will face Pallacanestro Cantu in a Serie A basketball fixture scheduled for 25 April at 12:15PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for an Udinese victory, as shown across Polymarket's order book. Settlement occurs on 2 May at 16:15 UTC, with the final score determining the outcome including any overtime periods. Should the match be postponed, the market remains open until completion; cancellation without rescheduling triggers a 50-50 resolution.
The extreme probability skew warrants examination against historical Serie A matchups between these clubs and their current competitive positioning. Udinese operates as a mid-table franchise with inconsistent form, whilst Cantu has struggled significantly in recent seasons, finishing near the bottom of the division. Previous encounters between these sides have occasionally produced closer contests than current odds suggest, though Udinese's home-court advantage and superior roster depth typically favour the hosts. The 100% reading indicates minimal liquidity or genuine belief in an upset outcome on the order book.
Traders should monitor team news through the week preceding the fixture, particularly injury announcements affecting either squad's key contributors. Fixture congestion in late April may impact player availability or fatigue levels. Recent Italian basketball coverage should be consulted for form updates and any scheduling changes. The settlement window extends only to early May, leaving limited time for postponement resolution, so confirmation of the fixture proceeding as scheduled becomes material to position management.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/italy/lega-a. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Amici Pallacanestro Udinese vs. Pallacanestro Cantu" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/italy/lega-a. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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