Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Pro A game, scheduled for May 30 at 3:00PM ET: If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne". If the Cholet win, the market will resolve to "Cholet". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet | 0% YES | 100% NO |
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, one of France's most successful Pro A franchises, face Cholet in a league fixture scheduled for 30 May at 3:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for an ASVEL victory, suggesting traders are pricing in either an overwhelming likelihood of a Cholet win or substantial uncertainty around the match proceeding as scheduled. This extreme positioning warrants scrutiny given ASVEL's historical standing in French basketball.
ASVEL have consistently competed at the top of Pro A, regularly finishing in playoff positions and winning multiple domestic titles. Cholet, whilst a respectable mid-table side, typically face significant odds disadvantage in direct matchups against Lyon. Historical head-to-head records and current season form would ordinarily favour ASVEL substantially. The 0% probability on the order book appears disconnected from conventional basketball metrics, suggesting either a data error, a scheduling concern, or traders pricing in a specific known factor absent from publicly available information.
Key variables for traders include confirmation of team availability and injury status closer to the fixture date. Pro A schedules can shift due to European competition commitments or administrative changes. The settlement window extends to 6 June, providing a buffer beyond the scheduled match date. Traders should monitor official Pro A announcements and team news from mid-May onwards, particularly regarding squad rotation policies or any fixture rescheduling that might affect the probability assessment currently reflected in the order book.
ASVEL Basket, known as LDLC ASVEL since 2018 for sponsorship reasons, is a French professional basketball team located in the commune of Villeurbanne, a suburb of Lyon, France. The club, which is the basketball section of the ASVEL multi-sports club, competes at the highest level of French basketball, the LNB Élite. The club's home games are played in both t
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lnb.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lnb.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: