Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Turkey BSL game, scheduled for May 2 at 11:00AM ET: If the Petkim Spor win, the market will resolve to "Petkim Spor". If the Bahcesehir Koleji win, the market will resolve to "Bahcesehir Koleji". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Petkim Spor vs. Bahcesehir Koleji | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Petkim Spor will face Bahçeşehir Koleji in a Turkish Basketball Super League (BSL) match on 2 May at 11:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at the YES position, reflecting a 0% implied probability that Petkim Spor wins outright. This extreme positioning suggests either minimal trader interest in the matchup or strong consensus favouring the alternative outcome, though the settlement window extending to 9 May allows for postponement scenarios common in Turkish domestic basketball.
Turkish BSL fixtures between mid-tier clubs typically see modest liquidity on prediction markets, particularly when neither team commands significant backing from international betting syndicates. Historical comparable matches between similarly-ranked sides have shown that 0% probabilities often reflect low participation rather than certainty; postponements and fixture rescheduling occur regularly in the Turkish league due to logistical or administrative reasons, which could keep this market open beyond the scheduled date.
Traders should monitor official BSL announcements regarding team availability, particularly injury reports or squad rotation decisions in the final week before the fixture. Bahçeşehir Koleji's recent form and head-to-head record against Petkim Spor would provide baseline context for assessing whether the current probability reflects genuine predictive consensus or simply thin order book conditions. Any news regarding venue changes or scheduling conflicts should be tracked through the Turkish Basketball Federation's official channels, as such developments could trigger postponement rather than cancellation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.tbl.org.tr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Petkim Spor vs. Bahcesehir Koleji" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.tbl.org.tr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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