Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for May 6 at 8:00PM ET: If the Atenas win, the market will resolve to "Atenas". If the Argentino win, the market will resolve to "Argentino". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Atenas vs. Argentino | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Atenas and Argentino are scheduled to meet in an LNB (Liga Nacional de Básquet) fixture on 6 May at 8:00PM ET. The market currently shows zero probability for an Atenas victory on Polymarket's order book, suggesting either strong conviction backing Argentino or minimal liquidity at current spreads. Settlement occurs on 14 May, allowing five business days post-match for result confirmation. The 50-50 cancellation clause applies only if no rescheduled game materialises.
Argentine basketball's domestic league has experienced fixture disruptions in recent seasons, though outright cancellations without make-up dates remain uncommon. Historical precedent suggests postponements are more likely than cancellations, which would keep the market open rather than triggering the contingency clause. The current 0% implied probability reflects either a significant skill gap favoured heavily toward Argentino or illiquidity at the ask side of the order book, making it difficult to assess genuine market conviction.
Traders should monitor LNB announcements regarding venue availability, player availability updates, and any weather or logistical factors affecting the Buenos Aires area in early May. Recent fixture scheduling has generally proceeded as announced, though Argentine sports calendars occasionally shift with limited notice. The settlement window's five-day buffer provides reasonable time for result verification, though any postponement would extend the market's duration and potentially alter the information set available to traders before final resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Atenas vs. Argentino" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: