Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for May 3 at 1:00PM ET: If the Igokea win, the market will resolve to "Igokea". If the Spartak Subotica win, the market will resolve to "Spartak Subotica". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Igokea vs. Spartak Subotica | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The ABA League matchup between Igokea and Spartak Subotica is scheduled for 3 May at 1:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to an Igokea victory, reflecting either extreme confidence in a Spartak win or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price. With the settlement window extending to 10 May, there remains a five-day buffer beyond the scheduled fixture date to accommodate any postponements before the market resolves.
Igokea and Spartak Subotica operate at different competitive tiers within the ABA League structure. Igokea, based in Prijedor, Bosnia and Herzegovina, has historically competed in the league's mid-tier range, whilst Spartak Subotica represents a more established Serbian franchise. The 0% implied probability suggests traders are pricing in either a decisive Spartak advantage or that the market has insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful odds. Historical ABA League fixtures between comparable-ranked sides typically see probabilities distributed across a wider range, indicating the current extreme reading warrants scrutiny of team form and roster status.
Traders should monitor official ABA League announcements regarding team availability, particularly injury reports for key players on either side. Recent fixture congestion in European basketball leagues has occasionally triggered postponements, which would keep this market open beyond the initial settlement date. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled, along with any last-minute roster changes, should be tracked through the league's official channels and team announcements in the days immediately preceding 3 May.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.aba-liga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Igokea vs. Spartak Subotica" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$873 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.aba-liga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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