Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the player who wins the Serie A Player of the Month Award for April 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by Serie A. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is declared by June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Nesta Elphege | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Nikola Krstović | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kenneth Taylor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player A | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Other | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sebastiano Esposito | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Donyell Malen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Marcus Thuram | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Serie A's monthly player awards recognise individual excellence across the Italian top division, with the April 2026 honour to be determined by the league's official voting process. The award typically reflects both statistical performance and broader impact during the calendar month, with voters considering goals, assists, defensive contributions, and overall match influence across the fixture schedule.
Historical precedent suggests that Serie A's monthly awards tend to concentrate on players from the division's established elite clubs—Juventus, Inter Milan, and AC Milan have dominated recent iterations—though standout individual performances from mid-table sides occasionally break through. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty at this distance from April 2026; with no voting having occurred and squad compositions potentially subject to significant change through the winter transfer window, traders lack concrete data on which to anchor valuations. Comparable markets for future monthly awards typically see probabilities remain diffuse until the relevant month approaches.
Traders should monitor Serie A's fixture scheduling for April 2026, which will determine match density and injury exposure for key players. Transfer activity during the January and summer windows will reshape squad quality and playing time distribution—critical variables for award eligibility. Official announcement of voting procedures or any changes to the award criteria would constitute material information. The settlement deadline of 7 May 2026 provides a narrow window between month-end and resolution, making timely official communication from Serie A essential for final determination.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Serie A: April 2026 Player of the Month" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for serie a contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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