Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Candidate D | — | |
| Jeff Hurd | 96% YES | 5% NO |
| Candidate A | — | |
| Candidate C | — | |
| Candidate F | — | |
| Candidate H | — | |
| Candidate J | — | |
| Candidate L | — | |
Colorado's 3rd congressional district will hold a Republican primary on 30 June 2026 to select the party's nominee for the U.S. House seat in that year's midterm elections. The district, which spans much of western Colorado including parts of the Denver metropolitan area, has been represented by Republican Lauren Boebert since 2021, though she relocated to CO-04 ahead of the 2024 cycle. The primary winner will face the Democratic nominee in November 2026, with the general election outcome dependent on broader midterm dynamics and local candidate strength.
Historical context for CO-03 Republican primary races shows the district leans solidly Republican in general elections, meaning the primary winner typically advances to the House. In 2022, when Boebert faced a competitive primary before ultimately winning, turnout and candidate name recognition proved decisive. The district's composition—rural and exurban counties with pockets of suburban growth—has historically favoured establishment-aligned Republicans, though recent cycles have seen increased primary competition from candidates emphasising grassroots mobilisation.
Traders should monitor candidate announcements throughout 2025 and early 2026, as the field's composition will significantly shape primary dynamics. Key catalysts include formal campaign launches, endorsements from state party leadership, and fundraising disclosures that signal candidate viability. Local Colorado Republican Party decisions regarding primary structure and debate scheduling will also influence candidate strategies. The current absence of a live price reflects the early stage of the race; as candidates declare and the primary date approaches, order book activity should increase substantially.
Cork republican silver refers to silverware produced in the Irish city of Cork during the Irish Civil War. Only around 60-80 pieces are known to survive.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "CO-03 Republican Primary Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9K in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for republican primary contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 2 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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