Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the next team Mike Evans officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Mike Evans does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Mike Evans joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Mike Evans is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Atlanta Falcons | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Buffalo Bills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chicago Bears | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Cleveland Browns | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Denver Broncos | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Green Bay Packers | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Mike Evans, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' veteran wide receiver, will either remain with his current club or sign with a new NFL franchise by the end of August 2026. The market currently shows 0% implied probability across all listed options on Polymarket's order book, indicating either minimal trading activity or a consensus that Evans will not move to any of the specified teams during this window. Settlement hinges on an official signing announcement prior to 31 August 2026, 23:59 ET, with any unsigned status or retirement resolving to "Other".
Historical precedent suggests that established receivers in their mid-thirties rarely change teams mid-contract or during free agency windows. Evans signed a two-year extension with Tampa Bay in 2022, keeping him under contract through 2026. Comparable cases—such as Rob Gronkowski's moves or Antonio Brown's departures—typically involved either mutual agreement to release or explicit contract terminations announced well before the August deadline. The current zero probability reflects the baseline assumption that Evans either remains a Buccaneer or the market lacks sufficient conviction about alternative destinations.
Key catalysts include any official Buccaneers roster announcements, potential salary cap manoeuvres, or unexpected release decisions by Tampa Bay management. The NFL's free agency period typically concludes by mid-March, meaning any significant movement would likely be resolved months before the settlement window closes. Recent reporting from NFL insiders should be monitored for contract restructuring discussions or trade speculation involving Evans, though his age and salary structure make mid-market movement relatively unlikely.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Where will Mike Evans play in 2026-27?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for nfl contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 2 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 September 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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