Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Sixth Man of the Year. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| DeAndre Hunter | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Anfernee Simons | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Bobby Portis | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jordan Clarkson | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Gradey Dick | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Aaron Wiggins | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| T.J. McConnell | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The NBA awards its Sixth Man of the Year honour annually to the highest-performing player coming off the bench. The 2025–26 season award will be determined by voting amongst a panel of media members and fan voting, with the winner announced typically in June. This market resolves based on official NBA designation of the award recipient, with the settlement window closing on 30 June 2026.
Historical context shows the award has consistently gone to players averaging 15+ points per game whilst maintaining sixth-man status throughout the season. Recent winners including Naz Reid (2024) and Malcolm Brogdon (2024) exemplify the voting pattern favouring high-volume scorers with reliable playing time. The 0% implied probability on the order book reflects early-season uncertainty; with the 2025–26 campaign underway, the market has yet to consolidate around leading candidates. Polymarket's order book will gradually price in performance data as the season progresses, with meaningful probability shifts typically emerging after the All-Star break when voting patterns become clearer.
Traders should monitor regular season statistics—particularly points per game, minutes played, and bench classification—alongside team performance trajectories. The NBA typically announces finalists in May 2026, providing a critical catalyst for market repricing. Injury developments affecting bench rotation depth across league contenders will influence candidacy, as will any mid-season trades altering player roles. Official voting announcements from the NBA constitute the final resolution trigger.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nba.com/awards. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "NBA Sixth Man of the Year Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$510K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for nba contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 7 months — long enough that the order book is mature and price is well-anchored to fundamentals.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/awards. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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