Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to how much "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| <23m | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| 23-26m | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| >29m | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| 26-29m | 26% YES | 75% NO |
The Devil Wears Prada 2 is scheduled for release on 30 May 2025, with its third weekend falling on 15–17 May 2026. This market resolves based on domestic box office figures from The Numbers, with settlement occurring once final weekend data replaces studio estimates. The current order book implies a 33% probability that third-weekend gross will exceed the threshold being tested, suggesting traders expect either significant front-loading or a steeper-than-average decline by week three.
Comparable sequels to established franchises with strong female-skewing demographics provide useful benchmarks. Mean Girls 2 (2011) retained roughly 35–40% of its opening weekend by the third frame, whilst Legally Blonde 2 (2003) saw third-weekend drops of approximately 60%. The original Devil Wears Prada (2006) performed above typical rom-com trajectories, suggesting the sequel may sustain audience interest longer than baseline expectations. However, May 2026 will feature competing releases; the exact competitive landscape remains uncertain at this stage.
Traders should monitor production updates and marketing spend announcements as release approaches. The film's star power, critical reception upon release, and word-of-mouth metrics will materially influence hold rates. International performance data from earlier weekends will offer predictive signals for domestic third-weekend performance. Any delays to the release date or significant cast changes would alter baseline assumptions about audience retention patterns.
The Devil Wears Prada, an American metalcore band from Dayton, Ohio, have released eight studio albums, one demo, five extended plays, twenty-nine singles and thirty music videos.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.the-numbers.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading ""The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$17 in lifetime turnover and $848 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for movies contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $17 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.the-numbers.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: