Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In sports, a Scorigami is a scoring combination that has never before occurred in a sport or league's history. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final score of any 2026 MLB regular season game is a Scorigami. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined whether any final score was a Scorigami within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/scores), however other sites tracking Scorigami may be used (https://mlbscorigami.com/, https://x.com/MLBgami).
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| MLB: Scorigami in 2026? | 7% YES | 94% NO |
The 2026 MLB regular season will feature 2,430 games across 162 matches per team. A Scorigami occurs when a final score has never appeared in MLB history—a genuinely rare event given that baseball has been played professionally since 1871 and the modern era since 1901. The market settles YES only if at least one game produces an unprecedented final score during the regular season through 28 September 2026.
Scorigami tracking has become more rigorous since Jon Bois formalised the concept for the NFL in 2013, with baseball enthusiasts subsequently cataloguing MLB's historical scores. The rarity of new score combinations has increased substantially as the sport has matured; MLB has seen roughly 220,000 games played, creating an enormous denominator against which new combinations must compete. Historical precedent suggests Scorigami events in baseball occur irregularly—sometimes multiple times in a season, sometimes not at all. The 7% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects this genuine scarcity, pricing in the mathematical likelihood that 2,430 games will produce at least one never-before-seen final score.
Traders should monitor whether MLB implements any rule changes affecting scoring dynamics before 2026, though recent seasons have seen minimal alterations to gameplay. The schedule's composition—including weather patterns affecting run-scoring and potential shifts in offensive trends—will influence score distribution. Polymarket's current order book formation at 7% YES suggests the market is pricing this as a low-probability but non-negligible event, consistent with historical Scorigami frequency data.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "MLB: Scorigami in 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for mlb contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 7%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 September 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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