Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Thunder Xi and Kokrajhar scheduled for 2026-04-27 in T20 BIFA Cup, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Thunder Xi will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Thunder Xi. The outcome corresponding to Kokrajhar will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Kokrajhar.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| THU | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| KOK | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The T20 BIFA Cup Women's match between Thunder Xi and Kokrajhar on 27 April 2026 will determine which team produces the match's highest individual batter. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Thunder Xi, suggesting the order book has priced in a substantial expectation that a Thunder Xi player will outscore all individual batters from Kokrajhar. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a decisive advantage in squad composition, recent form, or historical head-to-head records in comparable domestic T20 formats.
Women's domestic T20 competitions in South Asia have historically shown considerable variance in individual batting performances, with top-order batters frequently posting match-defining scores above 40 runs. Thunder Xi's recent tournament records and player roster composition would be the primary drivers of this probability; if the squad contains established batters with consistent strike rates and boundary-hitting records, the market's confidence becomes more anchored. Comparable BIFA Cup matches from previous seasons would provide baseline data on typical highest individual scores and the distribution of match-winning contributions between competing franchises.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and any late team changes prior to the match, as injuries to key batters could materially shift the probability. Weather conditions on match day—particularly pitch behaviour in the Assam region where BIFA Cup fixtures typically occur—will influence whether conditions favour aggressive batting or constrain scoring. The settlement window closes 4 May 2026, allowing time for official ESPN Cricinfo statistics to be finalised before resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 BIFA Cup, Women: Thunder Xi vs Kokrajhar - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$607 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for international cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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