Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token Hyperliquid ($HYPE) is listed for spot purchase on Coinbase by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Coinbase, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Hyperliquid, a decentralised perpetuals exchange launched in 2023, has gained substantial market traction with its native token $HYPE. The question centres on whether Coinbase will list $HYPE for spot trading before the end of 2026. Currently, the Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability of "Yes," suggesting market participants view a Coinbase listing as virtually certain within the timeframe.
Coinbase's listing decisions typically follow a pattern: established tokens with significant trading volume, regulatory clarity, and institutional adoption tend to secure spots on the platform within 18–24 months of launch. Ethereum, Solana, and Polygon all achieved Coinbase listings relatively swiftly after establishing themselves as major protocols. Hyperliquid's rapid growth—processing billions in notional volume and attracting venture capital backing—places it in a comparable trajectory. However, the exchange's decentralised structure and derivatives-first positioning differ from traditional layer-1 blockchains, introducing some uncertainty around regulatory treatment.
Key catalysts include Hyperliquid's continued user growth metrics, regulatory developments affecting decentralised finance, and any public statements from Coinbase regarding listing criteria or pipeline. The token's performance in secondary markets and institutional adoption will likely influence timing. With roughly two years remaining until settlement, traders should monitor quarterly exchange volume reports and any announcements from either Hyperliquid's team or Coinbase regarding expansion plans. The current 100% probability suggests the market has priced in high confidence, leaving limited upside for contrarian positions.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$48K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for hyperliquid contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 4 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2027. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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