Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The 2026 Lecco, Italy mayoral runoff election is currently scheduled to be held on June 7 and 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lecco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Lecco.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Other | — | |
| Person A | — | |
| Person D | — | |
| Filippo Boscagli | 82% YES | 19% NO |
| Person B | — | |
| Person F | — | |
| Person I | — | |
| Person C | — | |
Lecco, a city of roughly 48,000 residents in Lombardy, will hold mayoral elections on 7–8 June 2026, with a potential runoff if no candidate secures an outright majority in the first round. The settlement window closes on 8 June 2026 at 06:00 UTC, with a backstop resolution date of 30 April 2027 should results remain unclear. The market will resolve to the candidate who wins the mayoral seat through this electoral process, excluding any interim appointments made before the election concludes.
Italian municipal elections typically reflect broader regional political dynamics, with Lecco's Lombardy region historically dominated by centre-right coalitions, though recent elections have seen increased fragmentation across left, centre, and populist blocs. Without current candidate declarations or polling data on Polymarket's order book, the market has not yet formed an implied probability. Traders should monitor announcements from major Italian parties—particularly the Lega, Forza Italia, and Democratic Party—regarding their Lecco endorsements, as coalition-building typically determines outcomes in runoff scenarios where no single candidate achieves 50 per cent on the first ballot.
Key catalysts include formal candidate registration (typically 90 days before the election), campaign finance disclosures, and any local scandals affecting incumbent or leading contenders. Lecco's municipal administration and regional Lombardy government websites will publish official election schedules and results. Traders should track Italian municipal election patterns: runoffs frequently shift vote distributions as voters consolidate around viable candidates.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Lecco Mayoral Election Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $28K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for global elections contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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