Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Sweden Allsvenskan game between Hammarby IF and Malmo FF, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Hammarby IF vs. Malmo FF match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Hammarby IF and Malmö FF will contest a Sweden Allsvenskan fixture on 17 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 50% implied probability across Polymarket's order book, indicating genuine uncertainty about whether the exact scoreline will match one of the explicitly listed outcomes or resolve to "Any Other Score." This equilibrium suggests traders are pricing in substantial variance in potential match results rather than clustering around a single most-likely scoreline.
Historically, exact-score markets in top-tier European leagues show that roughly 45–55% of matches fall outside the three to five most commonly listed outcomes, depending on how granularly the market structures its options. The 50% probability here aligns with markets where no single scoreline dominates pre-match expectations—typical when both sides carry comparable attacking and defensive profiles. Hammarby and Malmö have been competitive forces in Allsvenskan, though their relative form and squad composition in spring 2026 will materially affect whether low-scoring or higher-variance results become more probable.
Traders should monitor team news, injury announcements, and any fixture rescheduling notices in the weeks preceding the match. Malmö's European commitments or Hammarby's domestic cup progression could influence squad rotation and tactical approach. Weather conditions on match day and any late managerial changes would also shift the distribution of likely scorelines. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on 17 May, allowing only the final whistle to determine outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.allsvenskan.se/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hammarby IF vs. Malmo FF - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $532 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.allsvenskan.se/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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