Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Bogdan Seleznev and Maxwell Mckennon in the ITF Men Kayseri, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Seleznev' if Bogdan Seleznev advances against Maxwell Mckennon. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Mckennon' if Maxwell Mckennon advances against Bogdan Seleznev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| ITF Kayseri: Bogdan Seleznev vs Maxwell Mckennon | 9% YES | 92% NO |
Bogdan Seleznev faces Maxwell Mckennon in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 3 June 2026 in Kayseri, Turkey. The 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book reflects genuine uncertainty between two players competing at the ITF level, where outcomes often hinge on form, surface adaptation, and recent match fitness rather than established ranking differentials.
ITF Men's matches at this tier typically favour players with recent competitive activity and clay-court experience, given Kayseri's outdoor hard-court surface. Historical ITF tournament data suggests matches between unseeded or lower-ranked players produce volatile results, with home-region advantages occasionally influencing outcomes. The current even split indicates the market has insufficient data to favour either player materially, or that both competitors present comparable threat profiles based on available recent performances.
Key catalysts include confirmation of both players' participation closer to the tournament date, any late withdrawals or injury announcements, and weather conditions in Kayseri during early June. The settlement window extends to 10 June, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for match completion; delays beyond this trigger a 50-50 resolution. Traders should monitor ITF rankings updates and any tournament draw adjustments through the ATP's official channels, as last-minute scheduling changes at smaller tournaments remain common. Surface conditions and court assignments, typically confirmed 48 hours before play, may shift implied probabilities if either player has documented clay or hard-court preferences.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kayseri: Bogdan Seleznev vs Maxwell Mckennon" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$112 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $112 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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