Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team wins every pistol round they play throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026, scheduled to take place from April 29 to May 3, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Pistol rounds are defined as the first round of each half. In regulation this is rounds 1 and 13; in overtime, the first round of each overtime half also counts towards resolution. This applies to all maps played by the qualifying team during the tournament, including group stage and playoffs. A team must play at least two maps to qualify.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will a team win every pistol round they play at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 runs from 29 April to 3 May as a Counter-Strike 2 tournament featuring top international teams competing across multiple maps in group stage and playoff formats. The market asks whether any single team will win every pistol round they play throughout the event—a feat requiring flawless execution across rounds 1 and 13 of regulation play, plus any overtime pistol rounds, across a minimum of two maps. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 0% implied probability, suggesting traders assess this outcome as effectively impossible.
Pistol round consistency in professional Counter-Strike remains one of the game's most volatile elements. Historical tournament data shows even dominant teams rarely maintain perfect pistol records across extended competition; teams typically win 55–65% of pistols in a given tournament depending on map pool and opposition. The requirement to play at least two maps amplifies difficulty—a team would need to win pistols on every map they contest, whether facing weaker or stronger opposition. No documented instance of a team achieving this across a full tournament exists in recent competitive history.
The tournament's map pool and bracket structure will determine which teams play the most maps, creating variance in opportunity. BLAST's typical format features best-of-three matches, meaning stronger teams advancing further play more maps and face higher cumulative difficulty. Announcements regarding the final roster confirmations and map veto system should arrive in April 2026, though these are unlikely to shift the fundamental improbability already priced into the market.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will a team win every pistol round they play at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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