Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Semifinal 2 match between Eintracht Frankfurt and FOKUS in the VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Frankfurt" if Eintracht Frankfurt win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against Eintracht Frankfurt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Eintracht Frankfurt face FOKUS in the Valorant Champions League DACH: Evolution Playoffs semifinal on 9 May 2026. The match is a best-of-three encounter scheduled for 1:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring at 22:15 UTC that same day. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity in the early stages of this market or a consensus expectation that one team will not compete. Given the settlement window closes within hours of the scheduled match time, traders have limited opportunity to react to live developments or last-minute roster changes.
VCL DACH: Evolution represents the regional qualifying pathway for German-speaking Valorant competitors. Historical precedent from regional esports playoffs shows that semifinal matches rarely fail to execute entirely; cancellations typically occur only following team withdrawals, venue issues, or force majeure events. The 50-50 tie-resolution clause carries material weight here, as technical issues or map-side exploits have occasionally forced replays in competitive Valorant, though outright cancellations within seven days remain uncommon at this competitive tier.
Traders should monitor official VCL DACH communications and team rosters through 9 May for any withdrawal announcements or scheduling conflicts. Valorant patch updates deployed in the week prior can occasionally affect competitive viability if critical bugs emerge, though Riot Games typically delays patches around major tournaments. Liquidity formation on this market will likely depend on whether either team signals participation issues before match day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorantleague_dach. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$58K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorantleague_dach. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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