Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Paper Rex and DRX in the VCT Pacific Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Paper Rex" if Paper Rex win the match against DRX. This market will resolve to "DRX" if DRX win the match against Paper Rex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Paper Rex and DRX meet in a VCT Pacific lower bracket quarterfinal on 10 May 2026, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The match is a best-of-three series scheduled for 6:00 AM ET. The current 1% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects an extreme underdog positioning for Paper Rex, suggesting the market has priced in a decisive advantage for DRX.
DRX have historically been one of the strongest teams in Pacific regional play, whilst Paper Rex have shown inconsistency in recent splits. The 1% probability aligns with conventional expectations when a top-tier team faces a lower-seeded opponent in elimination play. However, lower bracket matches carry inherent volatility—upsets occur at higher frequency than regular season matchups, and a single map win can shift momentum in a best-of-three format. Historical data from VCT Pacific shows that teams seeded significantly lower have won approximately 5–8% of such matchups, suggesting the current odds may be pricing in near-certainty rather than accounting for realistic upset potential.
Traders should monitor roster announcements, player availability, and any schedule changes through the settlement window closing 17:30 UTC on 10 May. Recent VCT broadcasts and team performance metrics leading into playoffs will provide concrete form data. Any last-minute roster changes, technical issues, or venue complications could affect match execution. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches means traders should track official VCT communications for postponements that could extend resolution beyond the scheduled date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$123K in lifetime turnover and $234K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $123K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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