Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between Pcific Esports and GIANTX in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1, initially scheduled for May 12 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Pcific Esports" if Pcific Esports win the match against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Pcific Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 32% YES | 69% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Pcific Esports face GIANTX in a lower bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1, with the match scheduled for 12 May at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances in the tournament structure; the loser is eliminated. The current order book on Polymarket prices Pcific Esports at 31% implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that GIANTX enters as the favoured side.
GIANTX has established itself as a consistent performer in European Valorant, whilst Pcific Esports represents a less predictable quantity in regional competition. Lower bracket matches in esports tournaments often feature compressed preparation time and psychological factors tied to prior elimination, which can shift expected performance relative to regular season metrics. Historical precedent in EMEA Valorant qualifiers shows that seeding and prior results carry substantial weight, though upsets from lower bracket teams occur at rates sufficient to justify the 31% probability rather than substantially lower odds.
Traders should monitor official tournament communications regarding match scheduling confirmation, as the settlement window extends to 22:00 UTC on 12 May—allowing for potential delays or rescheduling within the same calendar day. Roster changes or last-minute player availability announcements in the 48 hours before play could shift the order book materially. The specific map pool for this stage and any recent patch updates to Valorant may also influence preparation quality and confidence levels between the two organisations.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://vlr.gg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://vlr.gg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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