Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Mandatory and F9 EICAR in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 3 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Mandatory" if Mandatory win the match against F9 EICAR. This market will resolve to "F9 EICAR" if F9 EICAR win the match against Mandatory. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs F9 EICAR (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: F9 (-1.5) vs Mandatory (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs will feature Mandatory facing F9 EICAR in an upper bracket semifinal best-of-three match on 3 May at 3:00PM ET. The current market pricing reflects a 100% implied probability for Mandatory's victory, suggesting near-certainty amongst traders on Polymarket's order book. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a decisive competitive advantage or when information asymmetries favour one outcome heavily.
French Valorant's competitive landscape has seen Mandatory establish themselves as a dominant regional force in recent seasons, whilst F9 EICAR operates at a lower tier within the VCL structure. Historical matchups between teams of significantly disparate skill levels in French esports playoffs have occasionally produced upsets, though the frequency remains low enough that markets routinely price such encounters with probabilities exceeding 90%. The current 100% reading suggests traders view this as a near-certainty rather than a high-probability favourite, which warrants scrutiny given standard tournament volatility.
Traders should monitor for roster changes, player availability announcements, or technical issues in the days preceding the match. Schedule adherence remains critical—any delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date triggers a 50-50 resolution per the market terms. Recent VCL France coverage should be tracked for injury reports or last-minute roster adjustments that could shift the competitive balance. The settlement window closes 4 May at 01:00:00Z, allowing minimal buffer for match completion and result confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_fr. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$27K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_fr. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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