Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between Evil Geniuses and Team Envy in the Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1, initially scheduled for May 13 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against Team Envy. This market will resolve to "Team Envy" if Team Envy win the match against Evil Geniuses. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Evil Geniuses and Team Envy contest the upper bracket final of the Valorant Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1, scheduled for 13 May at 8:00PM ET. The match is a best-of-three format, with the winner advancing to the next stage of qualification. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 46% implied probability for Evil Geniuses, suggesting the market views this as a competitive fixture with slight favour toward Team Envy.
Both organisations field rosters capable of deep tournament runs. Evil Geniuses have maintained competitive standing in North American Valorant throughout 2024 and 2025, whilst Team Envy has similarly demonstrated consistency at regional level. Historical head-to-head records between these sides show relatively balanced matchups, with outcomes often determined by map pool compatibility and individual player form on the day. The current probability distribution suggests traders are pricing in marginal uncertainty rather than a decisive favourite.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the week prior to the match, as substitutions or player availability issues could shift the competitive balance. Schedule adherence matters here: the settlement window closes 7 days after the scheduled date, meaning delays beyond 20 May without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Watch for official Esports World Cup communications regarding bracket updates or fixture amendments, particularly given the compressed timeline of regional qualifiers.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/Demon1. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$60K in lifetime turnover and $38K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $60K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/Demon1. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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