Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between DRX and Nongshim RedForce in the VCT Pacific Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DRX" if DRX win the match against Nongshim RedForce. This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win the match against DRX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
DRX and Nongshim RedForce will face off in a lower bracket round one match of the VCT Pacific Playoffs on 9 May at 6:00 AM ET. The best-of-three fixture determines who advances deeper into the regional competition. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects 0% implied probability for DRX victory, suggesting the market has assigned overwhelming confidence to Nongshim RedForce or uncertainty about match execution itself.
DRX enters as one of the region's historically dominant organisations, having won multiple VCT Pacific titles and consistently placed among Asia-Pacific's top teams. Nongshim RedForce, whilst a credible regional competitor, typically ranks below DRX in head-to-head records and tournament placements. The 0% pricing on DRX appears anomalous given this historical context—such extreme probabilities often reflect either severe roster changes, recent performance collapse, or liquidity constraints on the order book rather than genuine certainty about match outcomes.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any official schedule amendments from Riot Games in the days preceding 9 May. Recent VCT Pacific broadcasts have occasionally faced technical delays or rescheduling, making the settlement window's seven-day buffer relevant. Additionally, watch for injury announcements or last-minute player substitutions from either organisation, which could materially shift competitive balance. The current pricing warrants scrutiny—extreme probabilities in esports markets often correct sharply once the match approaches and deeper liquidity enters the book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$281K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $278K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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