Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant match between Dplus and ARETE in the VCL Korea: Regular Season, initially scheduled for June 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus" if Dplus win the match against ARETE. This market will resolve to "ARETE" if ARETE win the match against Dplus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 83% YES | 18% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs ARETE (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Dplus and ARETE will face off in a best-of-three Valorant match during the VCL Korea regular season on 3 June at 7:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for a Dplus victory, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites in this matchup. This probability has formed through trading activity on the platform's order book, where participants have priced in their assessments of both teams' relative strength and recent form.
Dplus has established itself as one of Korea's stronger Valorant organisations, consistently performing well in regional competitions. Historical precedent from VCL Korea seasons shows that teams with established infrastructure and player stability tend to maintain win rates consistent with market pricing in the 80–85% range when facing mid-tier opposition. ARETE's competitive standing within the Korean scene will determine whether the current pricing adequately reflects the matchup difficulty; teams with recent roster changes or inconsistent results typically see wider probability ranges.
Traders should monitor several factors before settlement on 3 June. Roster announcements or last-minute player absences could shift the probability meaningfully, particularly if either team experiences unexpected personnel changes. The match's exact scheduling within VCL Korea's broadcast window should be confirmed, as delays beyond seven days without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent scrim results or public statements from either organisation regarding preparation could also influence the order book in the days leading up to the fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/@ValorantEsportsKR/live. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/@ValorantEsportsKR/live. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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