Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Round 3 match between Azure Dragon Gaming and M80 in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 2 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Azure Dragon Gaming" if Azure Dragon Gaming win the match against M80. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Azure Dragon Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Azure Dragon Gaming (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Azure Dragon Gaming face M80 in a Valorant Challengers League North America Stage 3 Group Stage match scheduled for 2 June at 21:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket prices Azure Dragon at 30 per cent implied probability, reflecting M80 as the favoured side. This valuation emerges from live trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, where traders have positioned substantially more capital on an M80 victory.
M80 operates as an established organisation within North American Valorant's competitive structure, whilst Azure Dragon Gaming competes at the Challengers tier. Historical matchups between teams at different competitive tiers typically favour the higher-seeded or more established roster, though individual performance variance in esports remains substantial. Recent VCL North America results show competitive depth across the region, with upsets occurring when lower-seeded teams execute superior tactical preparation or capitalise on opponent inconsistency.
Traders should monitor team roster announcements and any schedule adjustments prior to the 3 June settlement window. Valorant patch updates released before match day can alter agent viability and team preparation timelines. Player availability confirmations from both organisations typically emerge 24–48 hours before scheduled matches. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches creates a settlement risk vector; any postponement beyond 9 June without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of competitive context at that point.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_northamerica. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $16K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_northamerica. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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