Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Overwatch match between Crazy Raccoon and VARREL in the OCS Asia Stage 1 Group B, initially scheduled for May 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Crazy Raccoon" if Crazy Raccoon win the match against VARREL. This market will resolve to "VARREL" if VARREL win the match against Crazy Raccoon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Crazy Raccoon and VARREL are scheduled to contest a best-of-two Overwatch match within OCS Asia Stage 1 Group B on 6 May 2026 at 07:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for a Crazy Raccoon victory, suggesting the market has priced them as heavy underdogs or that minimal liquidity exists at present price levels. Settlement occurs at 17:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with provisions for rescheduling up to seven days without triggering a 50-50 resolution.
Crazy Raccoon have established themselves as a consistent presence in Asian Overwatch competition, though their recent trajectory against top-tier regional opponents provides context for the current pricing. VARREL's competitive standing and head-to-head record against Crazy Raccoon historically inform how traders calibrate win probabilities in this fixture. The absence of recent roster changes or announced roster adjustments between the teams would typically anchor expectations around historical performance differentials.
Traders should monitor OCS Asia communications for any schedule confirmations, player availability updates, or last-minute roster modifications in the 48 hours preceding the match. Overwatch competitive integrity depends on team composition stability; any announced substitutions or coaching changes could materially shift the probability distribution. The settlement window's proximity to the scheduled match time means confirmation of the result should arrive within hours of completion, with forfeit provisions applying if either team fails to field a valid roster.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ow_esports. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs VARREL (BO2) - OCS Asia Stage 1 Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$72 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ow_esports. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: