Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and GIANTX in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 31 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the NO side at 36%, making this a coinflip market resolving today, backed by $331K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 60% YES | 40% NO |
Team Vitality and GIANTX will contest a lower bracket quarterfinal in the League of Legends European Championship playoffs on 31 May 2026, with the winner advancing further in the double-elimination format. The match is scheduled for 11:00 AM ET and will be played as a best-of-five series. Current Polymarket order book pricing implies a 37% probability that Vitality prevail, valuing GIANTX as the marginal favourite at 63%.
Vitality's recent playoff performance and roster stability provide the primary historical anchor for assessing this matchup. The organisation has maintained competitive rosters across multiple seasons, though their trajectory in 2026 will determine whether they enter this lower bracket fixture as a team with momentum or one playing from deficit. GIANTX's emergence as a lower bracket favourite reflects either strong regular season performance or recent victories that have shifted market perception. Comparable LEC lower bracket matchups typically see the higher-seeded or more established organisation favoured, yet the current 37% for Vitality suggests the market views them as the underdog here.
Traders should monitor official LEC scheduling confirmations and any roster or coaching announcements in the days preceding 31 May, as personnel changes can materially shift team strength assessments. Player injury status, recent scrim results if leaked, and performance in preceding playoff rounds will inform late-market repricing. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on match day, allowing for resolution once the best-of-five concludes. Any match postponement beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for positions held through the settlement deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lec. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 31 May 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/lec), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($331K of resting liquidity), a $500 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$106K in lifetime turnover and $331K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $101K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lec. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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