Esports

Trade: LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Ei Nerd Esports and Estral Esports in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ei Nerd Esports" if Ei Nerd Esports win the match against Estral Esports. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against Ei Nerd Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$147K
Total Volume
$11K
24h Volume
$11K
Open Interest
$11K
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Match Winner 19% YES81% NO
Game 1 Winner 32% YES68% NO
Game 2 Winner 32% YES68% NO
Game 3 Winner 32% YES68% NO
Game 4 Winner 34% YES67% NO
O/U 3.5 Games 59% YES42% NO
O/U 4.5 Games 23% YES78% NO
Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs Ei Nerd Esports (+1.5) 63% YES37% NO

Market context

Ei Nerd Esports face Estral Esports in a lower bracket first-round best-of-five match within Brazil's Circuito Desafiante League of Legends playoffs. The fixture is scheduled for 11 May at 4:00PM ET, with settlement occurring by 2 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Ei Nerd at 18% implied probability, reflecting substantial backing for Estral as the favoured side in this elimination match.

Lower bracket positioning typically correlates with seeding strength and recent form within regional circuits. Ei Nerd's placement in the lower bracket suggests either a weaker regular season finish or a loss in the upper bracket round. Estral's positioning as the implied favourite aligns with standard market behaviour where teams avoiding early elimination carry higher win probabilities. Historical patterns in Circuito Desafiante matches show that seeding advantages often persist through lower bracket rounds, though upsets do occur when roster changes or meta shifts favour the underdog's composition.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any schedule adjustments prior to the 11 May fixture. Recent patch notes affecting champion viability may influence team preparation strategies, particularly for teams with known champion pools. Injury announcements or last-minute substitutions could shift the probability substantially. The seven-day grace period before forced 50-50 resolution means delays beyond 18 May would trigger that outcome, though Brazilian esports scheduling has historically remained stable for major playoff fixtures.

Wikipedia Context

  • Lolei
    Lolei

    Lolei is the northernmost temple of the Roluos group of three late 9th century Hindu temples at Angkor, Cambodia, the others members of which are Preah Ko and the Bakong. Lolei was the last of the three temples to be built as part of the city of Hariharalaya that once flourished at Roluos, and in 893 the Khmer king Yasovarman I dedicated it to Shiva and memb

  • Idalaka language
    Idalaka language

    Idalaka is a Malayo-Polynesian dialect chain spoken Idalaka people in East Timor. The name is a portmanteau of Idaté and Lakalai.

  • Lolita
    Lolita

    Lolita is a 1955 novel written by Russian and American novelist Vladimir Nabokov. The protagonist and narrator is a French literature professor who moves to New England and writes under the pseudonym Humbert Humbert. He details his obsession with and victimization of a 12-year-old girl, Dolores Haze, whom he describes as a "nymphet". Humbert becomes sexually

  • Lolicon
    Lolicon

    In Japanese popular culture, lolicon is a genre of fictional media which focuses on young or young-looking girl characters, particularly in a sexually suggestive, fetishistic or erotic context. The term, a portmanteau of the English-language phrase "Lolita complex", also refers to desire and affection for such characters, and their fans. Associated mainly w

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$11K in lifetime turnover and $147K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.

Last 24 hours alone saw $11K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/cblol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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