Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) | 29% YES | 71% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Match Winner | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 48% YES | 52% NO |
League of Legends' LYON will face Team Liquid in a best-of-three LCS Regular Season match scheduled for 10 May at 7:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 27% implied probability for LYON victory, pricing Team Liquid as substantial favourites at 73%. This pricing emerged through active trading on the platform's order book, where the spread between bid and ask prices has stabilised around these levels ahead of the match.
Team Liquid enters as the more established LCS franchise with consistent playoff appearances and deeper institutional resources, whilst LYON represents a newer competitive entry into the league. Historical matchups between established LCS organisations and newer rosters typically favour the former, particularly in regular season play where preparation depth and scrim availability matter considerably. The 27% probability for LYON reflects the conventional wisdom that newer teams face structural disadvantages against entrenched competitors, though upsets do occur at meaningful frequency in League esports.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and any schedule changes through the LCS official communications channels prior to 10 May. Recent meta shifts in League patch cycles can disproportionately favour certain team compositions or playstyles, potentially shifting win probabilities if either roster has specialised preparation. Any player absences, technical issues during the broadcast window, or fixture delays beyond seven days would trigger the 50-50 resolution condition, creating tail risk that the current order book may not fully price.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lcs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$66K in lifetime turnover and $354K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $66K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lcs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: