Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 17 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Kiwoom DRX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 38% YES | 63% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Kiwoom DRX and HANJIN BRION will contest a best-of-three League of Legends match in the LCK's opening rounds on 17 May at 6:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices DRX at 38% implied probability, reflecting market participants' assessment that BRION holds the stronger position heading into this fixture. This probability is formed through live trading activity on the platform's order book, where the spread between bid and ask prices converges toward consensus.
DRX enters 2026 as a historically dominant LCK organisation with multiple championship runs, though roster changes and competitive evolution in the region complicate direct year-on-year comparisons. BRION has shown inconsistent performance across recent seasons, with results varying significantly based on meta shifts and player form. The 38% probability assigned to DRX suggests the market views BRION as favoured, likely reflecting either recent scrim results, roster strength assessments, or meta alignment that benefits BRION's composition or playstyle relative to DRX's current setup.
Traders should monitor official LCK scheduling announcements for any postponements or cancellations, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion. Player health updates and last-minute roster changes—particularly affecting key roles like mid lane or ADC—can shift win probabilities substantially in the hours before match start. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, so any technical delays or broadcast issues that extend beyond that point without a decisive result would also resolve the market at even odds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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