Trade: FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FaZe Clan’s active Counter-Strike 2 roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the FaZe Clan Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/FaZe_Clan) before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: broky, frozen, jcobbb, and Twistzz. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $2K
- Total Volume
- $12K
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $4K
Market outcomes
| FaZe roster change Before GTA VI? | 86% YES | 14% NO |
Market context
FaZe Clan's Counter-Strike 2 roster will experience at least one player departure or arrival before Rockstar Games releases Grand Theft Auto VI, currently scheduled for autumn 2025. The market's 87% implied probability reflects substantial confidence in roster movement occurring within this timeframe. The active lineup of broky, frozen, jcobbb, and Twistzz represents the baseline against which any official signing or departure will trigger resolution to "Yes".
Professional Counter-Strike rosters typically undergo changes annually, with the off-season following major tournaments providing natural windows for transfers. FaZe Clan has historically maintained competitive rosters through regular adjustments; the organisation's participation in tier-one competitions means player movement remains a routine occurrence rather than an exceptional event. Given that GTA VI's release window spans roughly eighteen months from typical market creation, the probability reflects the statistical likelihood of at least one roster adjustment during a standard competitive season.
Traders should monitor FaZe's performance at upcoming events, particularly results at ESL Pro League and Intel Extreme Masters competitions, as underperformance often precipitates roster discussions. Contract expiration dates for current players and announcements from competing organisations regarding player acquisitions serve as leading indicators. Recent esports transfer activity across top organisations suggests heightened roster fluidity in 2024–2025, supporting the elevated probability. The Polymarket order book currently reflects this consensus, with YES contracts trading substantially above NO contracts, indicating market participants view roster change as the base case rather than an outlier scenario.
Wikipedia Context
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The Face on the Poster
"The Face on the Poster" is the sixth episode of the eighth series of the British comedy series Dad's Army. It was originally transmitted on 10 October 1975.
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Peter Fazer
Karl Peter Fazer was a Finnish sailor who competed in the 1964 Summer Olympics. In 1985–86, he was a crewmember on the boat Fazer Finland in the Whitbread Round the World Yacht Race.
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F-ZeroF-Zero is a series of racing games published by Nintendo, developed by Nintendo EAD and other third-party companies. The first game was released for the Super Famicom in Japan in 1990. Its success prompted Nintendo to create sequels on subsequent consoles.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 86% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $116 if YES resolves true — a 16% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$12K in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current probability for "FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?"?
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 86%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
How can I trade on "FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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