Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Nigma Galaxy and sifr00 in the Esports World Cup MESWA Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 2 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against sifr00. This market will resolve to "sifr00" if sifr00 win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs sifr00 (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Nigma Galaxy face sifr00 in the upper bracket final of the Esports World Cup MESWA Closed Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three Dota 2 match scheduled for 2 June at 9:00 AM ET. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. This is a regional qualifier determining which teams progress to the broader Esports World Cup tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Nigma Galaxy, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome for the favourites.
Nigma Galaxy represents the stronger historical precedent in regional Dota 2 competition, with established rosters and consistent qualification records across major tournaments. sifr00, whilst competitive in MESWA circuits, typically operates at a tier below established organisations like Nigma. Previous upper bracket finals in comparable regional qualifiers have occasionally produced upsets when underdog teams execute specific draft strategies or exploit meta shifts, though the favourites prevail in roughly 75–80% of such matchups based on historical tournament data.
Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup communications for any schedule changes, as the settlement window closes 7 days post-scheduled date. Technical issues or unexpected roster changes could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Current liquidity on the order book will likely remain thin given the extreme probability skew, meaning any material news regarding player availability or format changes would move pricing significantly.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/gorgc. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs sifr00 (BO3) - Esports World Cup MESWA Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$458 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $458 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/gorgc. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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