Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Hokori and Team Nemesis in the Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hokori" if Hokori win the match against Team Nemesis. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against Hokori. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5) | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% YES | 69% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% YES | 72% NO |
Hokori and Team Nemesis will contest the lower bracket final of the Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs in Dota 2, with the winner advancing further in the tournament structure. The match is scheduled for 3 June at 1:00PM ET, with settlement occurring at 23:00 UTC the same day. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 63% implied probability favouring Hokori, suggesting market participants assess them as the stronger side in this best-of-three encounter.
South American Dota 2 qualifying tournaments have historically shown volatile outcomes, particularly in lower bracket matches where momentum shifts and draft adaptation play decisive roles. Teams reaching lower bracket finals typically possess comparable mechanical skill, making map control, team coordination, and mid-game execution the primary differentiators. Recent comparable qualifiers in the region have seen favourites at 60–65% probability win approximately 70% of the time, though upsets remain common when underdogs field superior preparation or exploit meta shifts.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions, which occasionally occur before South American qualifiers. Schedule adherence matters given the 7-day buffer in the resolution criteria; delays beyond that window without completion trigger a 50-50 split. Watch for official tournament communications from ESL or the organising body regarding format changes or technical issues. Recent patch updates to Dota 2 can also shift competitive viability of hero pools, potentially favouring one team's preparation over the other's.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_DOTA2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_DOTA2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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